UFC 159 Picks

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Welcome to the UFC 159 breakdown!

Don’t forget the MMAPlayground season opener!

Preliminary Card (Facebook)

Featherweight
Leonard Garcia vs. Cody McKenzie

David: Taking Cody, Leonard just leaves his opponents too many chances.

Welterweight
Nick Catone vs. James Head

David: Catone

Featherweight
Steven Siler vs. Kurt Holobaugh

David: Siler

Preliminary Card (FX)

Lightweight
Rustam Khabilov vs. Yancy Medeiros

David: This is a showcase for Medeiros

Light Heavyweight
Gian Villante vs. Ovince St. Preux

David: OSP has a bit of the shine off him recently, but Gian isn’t really a threat standing.

Women’s Bantamweight
Sara McMann vs. Sheila Gaff

David: Sara, NOT Kat is the next threat to Ronda. Gaff is a good fighter, but she’s not at this level.

Bantamweight
Bryan Caraway vs. Johnny Bedford

David: Toss-up fight, and I’m taking Beford.

PPV Card

Lightweight
Jim Miller vs. Pat Healy

Roni: Pat is on a 6 fights win-streak.  But Jim’s win over Lauzon is nothing to trifle about. I like Miller, one of my favorite fighters. I think he wins a very hard-fought battle.

David: Before last week, I’d take Miller in a heartbeat. But for some reason, Healy scares me. I’m taking Miller, but with those odds, Healy is a guy I’m putting some MMAPlayground money on.

Light Heavyweight
Phil Davis vs. Vinny Magalhaes

Roni: This will be an interesting fight. A wrestler against a BJJ practitioner. I think Phil has a clear advantage. but Vinny’s BJJ credentials turns this fight interesting.

I take Phil to win, but if it goes to the ground, I am sure I’ll regret my decision.

David: Feel safe there Roni, Phil is overly cautious, and for some reason Vinny has all of the talent, but none of the ability. He’s a better coach than fighter. Phil is going to win in BORING style, standing up for 15 minutes.

HeavyweightRoy Nelson
Roy Nelson vs. Cheick Kongo

Roni: this has Roy written all over it. He can take a lot of punishment. And he has  Hands as heavy as Kongo. And if the fight touches the ground, you KNOW who got the advantage.

David: FEAR THE BEARD!!!!! I’ll always short-seller on Kongo. Roy is a harder puncher, and is miles better on the ground. Might be a very good fight, might be a slow plodding beatdown.

Middleweight
Michael Bisping vs. Alan Belcher

Roni: I see a good fight here. A test for both guys. And while I think Bisping is the better fighter, I don’t know if he’ll gonna be able to handle Bercher’s power. Besides, Alan surprised me with his confidence. I will give him the nod, giving the brit a 2 fights losing streak for the first time  in his career.

David: I’m giving Belcher a better chance in the cage than I do on paper. Belcher hits harder, Roni is right there, but I think Bisping is faster and slicker. I think Bisping can decide where the fight takes place, and I think he has the cardio to take a loss in round one and comeback to take rounds 2 and 3.

Light Heavyweight
Jon Jones (c) vs. Chael Sonnen

Roni: Well, for someone who was destroying legends, Jon all of a sudden decided to fight MW’s… First Vitor, now Chael… let us hope Silva is next 🙂

As for this fight, I think there’s no question who’ll be the winner.  My only quesiton is if Sonnen will finally test Jon’s TDD and ground game at the bottom (how funny will be if Jon actually wins via Triangle choke???).

David: Lets go over Chael’s KO records . . . ok, how about all the guys he’s tapped . . . ok. Lets talk all the guys that have gone scorecards with Jones . . .not too many.

So for Sonnen to win, he basically has to go 25 minutes against one of the best strikers 205 has ever seen, who is also one excellent wrestler with a sizeable reach advantage.

That being said- Sonnen might be heavier inside the cage, he’s never been a monster guy, and is used to being the smaller guy in the cage. Does he have a chance? Of course, there is a solid chance that Jones could get dropped on his ass and this could go the route of Anderson/Sonnen 1.

My pick? Its like Anderson/Sonnen II.

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