Projected BCS Standings: Week 4

What might the BCS standings look like this week? We’ve got three computer projections so far, and we’ll substitute the AP poll for the Harris poll, to see how it might project:

 

    CM JS RB KM   COACH   AP     BCS 
1 Alabama 18 24 25 0.893 1473 0.998644 1499 0.999333 0.96377
2 Oregon 23 21 23 0.893 1371 0.929492 1414 0.942667 0.921831
3 LSU 7 20 24 0.680 1361 0.922712 1346 0.897333 0.833348
4 Florida State 19 17 12 0.640 1306 0.885424 1340 0.893333 0.806252
5 Georgia 15 18 15 0.640 1224 0.829831 1245 0.83 0.76661
6 Stanford 25 22 22 0.920 949 0.64339 1055 0.703333 0.755574
7 South Carolina 14 16 19 0.653 1149 0.778983 1147 0.764667 0.732328
8 Kansas State 20 19 20 0.787 1000 0.677966 1067 0.711333 0.725322
9 Notre Dame 24 23 21 0.907 836 0.56678 1003 0.668667 0.714038
10 Florida 22 25 5 0.693 817 0.553898 864 0.576 0.607744
11 West Virginia 13 2 6 0.280 1137 0.770847 1045 0.696667 0.582505
12 Texas 12 15 0.360 924 0.626441 856 0.570667 0.519036
13 USC 9 18 0.360 813 0.551186 801 0.534 0.481729
14 Oklahoma 12 13 0.333 699 0.473898 611 0.407333 0.404855
15 TCU 1 10 11 0.293 705 0.477966 616 0.410667 0.393989
16 Clemson 4 7 8 0.253 560 0.379661 588 0.392 0.341665
17 Oregon State 21 13 9 0.573 220 0.149153 451 0.300667 0.341051
18 Michigan State 14 17 0.413 404 0.273898 348 0.232 0.306411
19 Louisville 11 0.147 493 0.334237 414 0.276 0.252301
20 Ohio State 16 6 0.293 0 633 0.422 0.238444
21 Mississippi State 17 0.227 349 0.23661 246 0.164 0.209092
22 Boise State 8 16 0.320 69 0.04678 114 0.076 0.147593
23 Rutgers 8 5 7 0.267 98 0.066441 128 0.085333 0.13948
24 Nebraska 327 0.221695 179 0.119333 0.113676
25 Baylor 14 0.187 101 0.068475 92 0.061333 0.105492
26 Wisconsin 11 0.147 102 0.069153 13 0.008667 0.074829
27 Michigan 10 0.133 57 0.038644 44 0.029333 0.067104
28 Northwestern 5 0.067 96 0.065085 89 0.059333 0.063695
29 Iowa State 9 2 0.147 45 0.030508 16 0.010667 0.062614
30 Ohio 10 0.133 13 0.008814 40 0.026667 0.056271
31 Oklahoma State 1 3 0.053 154 0.104407 12 0.008 0.055247
32 Arizona 3 4 0.093 16 0.010847 17 0.011333 0.038505
33 Texas Tech 6 0.080 17 0.011525 10 0.006667 0.032731
34 UCLA 33 0.022373 79 0.052667 0.025013
35 Louisiana Tech 3 0.040 28 0.018983 7 0.004667 0.021217
36 Miami (FL) 4 0.053 2 0.001356 1 0.000667 0.018452
37 Cincinnati 42 0.028475 10 0.006667 0.011714
38 Minnesota 2 0.027 11 0.007458 0 0.011375
39 Texas A&M 31 0.021017 11 0.007333 0.00945
40 Arizona State 22 0.014915 8 0.005333 0.00675
41 Virginia Tech 26 0.017333 0.005778
42 Missouri 1 0.013 0 0 0.004444
43 Tennessee 6 0.004068 10 0.006667 0.003578
44 Purdue 4 0.002712 5 0.003333 0.002015
45 Western Kentucky 5 0.00339 0 0.00113
46 Louisiana-Monroe 4 0.002712 0 0.000904
47 San Jose State 2 0.001356 0 0.000452
48 Washington 2 0.001356 0 0.000452

Any surprises? Right now we’d have Alabama and Oregon squaring off in the BCS National Championship based on the numbers at hand. Who might make the other BCS bowls? Here’s my best guess:

  • ROSE: Stanford vs. Michigan State
  • SUGAR: Georgia vs. Notre Dame
  • FIESTA: Kansas State vs. Clemson
  • ORANGE: Florida State vs. Louisville

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